Crash and Burn
Progressive Elitism
Hillary Was Always Going to Lose NC
What happened in Indiana and in North Carolina was a repeat of what had been happening all along.
There really were NO surprises. The destiny of the Democratic Party is in the hands of African-Americans and anti-Zionist "liberal" Democrats. It is no longer the party of white, blue-collar workers. It is no longer the party of women. It is no longer the party of older Americans. It is the party of African-Americans and elitist "liberal-progressive" Democrats.
"...the 2,000 activists at this year's "Take Back America" gathering, started six years ago by about 150 self-described liberal and progressive Democrats who wanted a louder voice in their party, overwhelmingly named Sen. Barack Obama as their favorite in the race for the Democratic nomination, according to straw poll results announced this afternoon." -- U.S. News & World Report, Liz Halloran - "Liberal Democrats Overwhelmingly Choose Obama Over Clinton in Straw Poll At the "Take Back America" conference" Mar 19, 2008
"A sobering 41 percent of the 413 conventioneers who participated in the straw poll said they would feel "dissatisfied" if Clinton were the nominee, compared with 86 percent who said an Obama candidacy would satisfy them. Seventy-two percent said they would most like to see Obama as the party's nominee, and 69 percent believed that Obama had a better shot at defeating presumed GOP nominee Sen. John McCain in the fall." (ibid)
Another wave of Democratic defectors
will join the ranks of the neo-cons in November.
"a neocon is a liberal who has been mugged by reality"
According to the exit polls, a THIRD of NC voters were African-American. Obama received the vote of 9 out of 10 of those African-American voters.
"9 in 10 is pretty impressive as a landslide but the black vote isn't going to be nearly as decisive in the general election as it has been in the key primaries Obama has won. The bottom line is if you subtract the black vote, Obama decisively lost in North Carolina. It doesn't take a genius to figure out what is going to happen when you go to the general election in which the black vote is a much smaller proportion of the general electorate." (Daniel Greenfield, "Obama Moonbats and The McCain Democrats" - Israelenews.com
Eight out of TEN voters in Indiana were White. Hillary Clinton received the support of SIX of TEN of White Women in Indiana and nearly SIX in 10 White men, just slightly below White Women, in Indiana.
That was her narrow victory in Indiana.
Almost FIFTY percent of Clinton voters told exit pollsters they would vote for McCain over Obama.
"Fewer than half of Clinton voters in both states said they would support Obama over McCain in the general election should that be the matchup." - WashingtonPost.com
White independents in North Carolina split in Hillary's favor, 58 percent to 38 percent.
Clinton's gas tax holiday proposal did not convince most voters. Obama ran ads against and spent about FIVE times as much to defeat Hillary in both Indiana and NC. Hillary has been outspent so far in all states. Without election reform and publicly financed elections the money nearly always wins.
Latest polls show that nationally only 39 percent consider her honest. Six of Ten say she is not Honest nor Trustworthy. AND in NC the polls split on that question by 49 percent to 49 percent. It hurt her badly. In Indiana the split was 54 percent that she was honest and trustworthy and 44 percent that she was not.
Clinton hurt herself with the Bosnia misstatement. She could have easily explained herself and I feel she just made it worse by not reworking the incident. It was a war zone. There was a risk - but she did not play it up. It was as-if she didn't fight back and the accusations were very destructive. It put her honesty ratings in the toilet. She is NOT viewed as honest and trustworthy by many voters because of it. A silly mistake. Something which happened 14 years ago whereas Obama can't keep memories straight from just 4 years ago. Of course it is unfair. So is life.
Obama did well with Young White voters nationally. However, in Pennsylvania and Ohio, White voters under the age of 30 were evenly split between the two Democrats which before had been next to Black voters, Obama's main key block of voters. In NC and Indiana Obama won the Youth vote handily. Needless to say it again, most Older voters have consistently supported Hillary.
Both Indiana and North Carolina are firmly Republican states. Neither one is win-able by a Democrat, whether Obama or Clinton in November. So except for helping to determine the candidate of the Democratic Party, neither state will add anything in the General election. A running mate from Indiana is the only way to change the calculus which might change the state blue in November.
One of the biggest problems (amongst many) I envision for Democrats is the way the party has disenfranchised millions of voters in Michigan and Florida - two states which by the way could tip the election quantitatively in favor of Clinton if there was a revote which Obama rejected because he knew what the outcome would be. It would have changed the equation in favor of Hillary.
"[Mitch] Ceasar, the Broward County Democratic leader, predicted that at least one group, Jewish voters, will remain in the Democratic fold despite their preference for Clinton as a nominee. "They will sit shiva for a couple of weeks," Ceasar said, referring to the Jewish tradition of mourning, "and then their Democratic DNA will kick in and they'll be enthusiastic supporters of the nominee." - LA Times, Barack Obama faces an untested set of hurdles May 11 2008
Mitch Ceasar is wrong. Jewish DNA will drive Jews, like me, to be smarter than that. Obama is a mirage based on a hoax and truth always trumps party politics. McCain is the least objectionable Republican to run in a long time. He is not so different than I remember Eisenhower to be, who was, I believe to have been the best president we have had since WWII. He is an easy choice for Jews who reject elitism and Obama's false promises. I think Jews will be split on this, but no way will they vote Democratic because it is the party line.
Obama's Problem with Jews
While not all Jews are the same and there are many very vocal Jewish Republicans, although more Jews have traditionally come down on the side of the Democrats. This time, though it is different and Jews representation on the left has constantly been eroded due to flagrant anti-Israel propaganda in the peace movement and particularly evidenced by antisemitism on the InterNUT. Some of why Obama will have a problem with Jews this time around has been addressed by Alan Caruba on May 11, 2008 in Israelenews:
"Obama's problem is compounded by his statements that he would meet with someone like Mamoud Amadinejad, the president of Iran, a nation that threatens the very existence of Israel. His view that America must meet with its enemies is not borne out by history that has many examples of the failure of such policies, though the long, patient negotiations with the former Soviet Union can be cited in its favor. The open hatred of Israel throughout the Middle East and elsewhere suggests this is a failed approach in these times."
"His affiliation with a Chicago church led by a pastor whose views on Jews are not likely to be friendly is another concern of the Jewish community. That pastor, too, is a longtime admirer of Minister Louis Farrakhan of the Black Muslim movement, a fact that does not go unnoticed in the Jewish community."
"It is, however, his heritage of being sent initially to an Indonesian madrassa in his formative years that will remain another significant concern to the American Jewish community."
"The fact that Sen. McCain has a long record of support for the U.S.-Israeli relationship, plus his greater experience, will also play a large role in the way the American Jewish community will vote in November. At least nine key states with significant Jewish populations will determine that outcome of the 2008 elections.""The rise of anti-Semitism around the world will be on their minds in November and events in the Middle East will play a role in how they vote. When they step into the voting booth, most will hesitate to vote for Barack Hussein Obama no matter what their party affiliation may be."
And Mark Hemingway writes in the May 19th National Review,
"Obama has been battling the perception that he is insufficiently supportive of Israel since last year, when he told the Des Moines Register, "Nobody is suffering more than the Palestinian people." An Iowa Democrat and member of the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC), David Adelman, called Obama's comments "deeply troubling." Obama claimed the remark was taken out of context, but the Politico noted that talk of Obama's comment was one of many reasons that a "real, if kind of inchoate, skepticism" dominated discussions of Obama at AIPAC's annual policy conference in March of last year."
"Whatever the context of that specific remark, many subsequent revelations have given ample reason for skepticism: Obama has repeatedly claimed to support Israel, but his record doesn't jibe with his rhetoric. Last year, he announced he would vote against an amendment in the Senate declaring Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps--which has long supported Hezbollah terrorists and otherwise abetted the murder of Israelis--a terrorist group. The resolution passed 76-22, with the support of Hillary Clinton, Illinois senator Dick Durbin, and a host of other reliable liberals. Obama missed the vote while campaigning in New Hampshire, but he attacked Clinton on the issue, saying the non-binding amendment might exacerbate tensions with Iran."
"What's more, his life is marked by ties to anti-Israeli causes."
"A recent report in the Los Angeles Times detailed Obama's close relationship with Rashid Khalidi, a professor of Arab studies at Columbia University. In the late 1970s Khalidi worked with WAFA, the official news agency of the Palestinian Liberation Organization; during this period, the PLO and its factions engaged in acts of terrorism. In 2005 Khalidi gained national attention when he argued that, under international law, Palestinians have a right to violently resist Israeli occupation."
"While teaching at the University of Chicago, Khalidi co-founded the Arab American Action Network (AAAN), an organization with a history of churning out anti-Israeli propaganda. AAAN's current projects include "The Arab American Oral History Project." The group's website asks, "Do you have photos, letters or other memories you could share about Al-Nakba-1948?" "Al Nakba" translates as "the catastrophe," and 1948 is the year in which Israel became a state."
"Khalidi held a fundraiser for Obama's failed congressional bid in 2000, while Obama was a state senator representing the liberal Hyde Park area of Chicago. In 2003, Obama attended a tribute dinner for Khalidi where, according to the Los Angeles Times, a speaker likened "Zionist settlers on the West Bank" to Osama bin Laden."
"When it comes to Israel, perhaps the most controversial member of Obama's campaign is his chief military adviser and national-campaign co-chairman, Gen. Merrill McPeak. In 1976, McPeak wrote an article for Foreign Affairs criticizing Israel for not returning to its 1967 borders and handing the Golan Heights back to Syria. McPeak accused Jewish and evangelical voters of placing their interest in Israel above U.S. interests in a 2003 interview with the Oregonian. When asked what was holding back world peace, McPeak responded, "New York City. Miami. We have a large vote ... here in favor of Israel. And no politician wants to run against it." Obama disavowed McPeak's stance on Israel, but stands behind the campaign's relationship with the general."
"Then there's Obama's pastor, Rev. Jeremiah Wright: "The Israelis have illegally occupied Palestinian territories for over 40 years now.... [We need to] wake Americans up concerning the injustice and the racism under which the Palestinians have lived because of Zionism." Last year, the bulletin at Wright's church reprinted an article by a Hamas official."
"Given Obama's past and current relationships, the Jewish community is taking his rhetoric with hefty portions of sodium chloride. One well-known Jewish Democratic strategist says that with Obama running, McCain could equal or even surpass the 39 percent of the Jewish vote that Ronald Reagan captured against Jimmy Carter in 1980. This could be a major factor in swing states with significant Jewish populations, notably Florida and Pennsylvania. According to Pennsylvania-primary exit polls, Jews went for Hillary, 62 to 38 percent."
Obama outspent Clinton the entire campaign, sometimes as much as 5 times. That was his second very big advantage after the Black vote. -- AND as one writer put it, "Her gas tax holiday proposal was a bridge too far even for Paul Krugman." I thought it a good idea for a temporary act because something must be done, even if it is not the best thing to do and even if it is only temporary. It was never intended to be a fix. A fix would require a big drop in prices and legal restraints in the form of legislated REGULATIONS on the oil companies to hold the price and return to exploration and discovery of new energy reserves and new energy resources..
The "Economy is the elephant in the room, the one Democrats expected to play, but it's an issue that clearly favors experienced candidates. It favored Hillary Clinton. It will favor McCain too. It's a key issue among older voters and working class voters who want an inexperienced hand at the helm. Obama's feel good posturing appeals to the youth vote, but voters who actually work for a living are going to look for a serious candidate, not just one who smiles a lot and spouts optimistic inanities on the campaign trail." (Greenfield)
"Those are going to be the McCain Democrats and there are going to be plenty of them, from disgruntled congressmen and senators who enjoyed positive bipartisan ties with McCain in Congress to the bottom line Democratic party voter who wants someone serious to deal with his or her concerns." --Greenfield
But let's not forget also the very startling metaphor when she picked the filly, "Eight Belles," who came in second to "Big Brown" in the Kentucky Derby, and then broke both legs and had to be put down. Are the super delegates now going to put down Hillary Clinton? That will be a grave mistake for those who do because Obama can't win in November. Hillary can win.
A lot of Democrats have buyer's remorse. Many will not vote for Obama no matter what. He is considered "damaged goods" because of the Muslim connections, plus Rezko and the Rev Wright. He can't win in November. Not easily anyway, unless McCain trips but just as that is possible with John McCain, it is also possible for Barack Hussein Obama to falter big time.
Daniel Greenfield writes: "Obama is going to lose and the bitterness over it is going to eat up liberal urban Democrats for another generation because Obama isn't just John Kerry or Al Gore, he's been built up as a liberal messiah, as a solution for all our social and racial woes and a rejection will be only further enrage and embitter liberals and convince them of the worthlessness of America and Americans."
"We're already seeing a taste of their hatred for McCain but it's only the tip of a rabid iceberg of what will happen when he becomes President."
The party is over...
Hank Roth
Material here includes excerpts in conformance with the Fair Use Doctrine
for educational, research and discussion purposes in an effort to inform and
advance the awareness and understanding per
Title 17 U.S.C.
Section 107, Copyright Law.
Permalink: http://inyourface.info/ArT/Delta/AnY.shtml
Today is Wednesday July 23, 2008
Hank Roth (on the Internet since 1982)
While I don't use a standard blog (weblog software) mostly because I've been doing this too long - having been there with Ike when the precursor to the Internet, Arpanet got started and every step of the way since, I can't get into all the many fads over the years (now it is social networking), but I have been an observer and participant in events which shape the world since my time with NSA and with Army Security and as a voice security cryptologist in the White House for the President, and the War Room at the Pentagon for the Chairman of the Chiefs of Staff plus two wars. You could say this site is one of the better kept secrets [grin] on the InterNUT. You are invited back as often as you would like to see what I and others, I trust, may be saying.
-- Hank Roth